Analysis the capacity of grain export potential in Ukraine, possible reasons for the decrease and development trends

The research presents an analysis of grain production and export capacity in Ukraine from 2010-2021. major general factors that have recently affected the country's macroeconomic indicators determined their potential for decline been destroyed damaged infrastructure, a high level military threat to crops, massive internal external migration working-age people businesses. Therefore, availability regularity changes reserve these crops domestic farm use consumers defines relevance issue under study. purpose study is analyse main crop identify significantly influence potential. Using technical statistical methods, models developed demonstrate possible fluctuations number exports, considering development economy. regression influencing grains were identified. These demonstrated include, particular, gross harvest volumes, quantities mineral organic fertilisers, purchasing prices produce, etc. A sustained long-term trend exports over past 10 years demonstrated, but it has established Ukraine's significant could change significantly. It affect economies grain-importing countries. suggested adverse impact causes declining should be reduced through further technologies growing, storing transporting crops. applied value results reduce uncertainty agricultural market agro-industrial foreign trade institutions by accounting